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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
0 - 3
Galatasaray


Henrique (11'), Valencia (87'), Hakan Yandas (87')
Kahveci (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (32'), Akturkoglu (78'), Icardi (90+10')
Oliveira (26'), Boey (26'), Nelsson (34'), Mertens (45+8'), Kutlu (75'), Dubois (87'), Icardi (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray

Any predictions for this match beyond numerous cards and plenty aggression on and off the pitch between two intense rivals are hard to make given how well both teams have been playing of late. With so much on the line at the top of the table, it would be little surprise to see both teams settle for avoiding defeat should the match be heading towards that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
54.32% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.38% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.18 0.18)46.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.168 0.17)68.42% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)16.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.218 0.22)34.79% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.23 0.23)71.53% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 54.31%
    Galatasaray 22.38%
    Draw 23.3%
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
48.9%
Draw
24.5%
Galatasaray
26.6%
94
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Galatasaray
Zajc (26'), Dursun (68')
Aziz (33'), Hakan Yandas (56'), Kahveci (62')

Marcao (40'), Babel (45+2'), Cicaldau (58'), Antalyali (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 4pm
Galatasaray
1-2
Fenerbahce
Akturkoglu (16')
Kutlu (25'), Marcao (35'), Muslera (35'), Terim (45+3'), Nelsson (66'), Terim (90+7')
Ozil (31'), Crespo (90+4')
Tisserand (24'), Ozer (35'), Hakan Yandas (35'), Kahveci (90+7')
Tisserand (82')
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
Galatasaray
0-0
Fenerbahce

Luyindama (15'), Falcao (47'), Turan (61'), Antalyali (62'), Etebo (82'), Marcao (85'), Belhanda (86')

Sosa (12'), Tisserand (23'), Gonul (70'), Gustavo (90+1')
Feb 23, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-3
Galatasaray
Kruse (21' pen.)
Aziz (16'), Tufan (36'), Arslan (50'), Dirar (54'), Isla (58')
E. (67'), Turuc (85')
Donk (40'), Falcao (80' pen.), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (20'), Falcao (36'), Michael Seri (58'), Donk (68'), Mariano (74'), Andone (90'), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray17152049202947
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor18103432181433
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul177552823526
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
9GaziantepGaziantep176472426-222
10KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor176382132-1121
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor174762524119
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor183771734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1816111631-159
19Adana Demirspor1722131537-225


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