Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.