MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 07:10:07| >> :60:1502:1502:
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Trofense
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Maiga (27')
Liberal (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (57')
Ferigra (25'), Couto (90+4')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Trofense and Pacos de Ferreira.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Trofense
Saturday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Trofense win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
TrofenseDrawPacos de Ferreira
25.06% (2.251 2.25) 26.47% (0.706 0.71) 48.47% (-2.957 -2.96)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69% (-0.802 -0.8)56.3% (0.802 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66% (-0.652 -0.65)77.34% (0.652 0.65)
Trofense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (1.644 1.64)37.99% (-1.643 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (1.554 1.55)74.76% (-1.555 -1.56)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-1.645 -1.65)23.28% (1.645 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-2.456 -2.46)57.2% (2.455 2.46)
Score Analysis
    Trofense 25.06%
    Pacos de Ferreira 48.47%
    Draw 26.47%
TrofenseDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.624 0.62)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.416 0.42)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.47 0.47)
3-1 @ 1.95% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 12.89% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 9.4% (-0.644 -0.64)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.47%

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