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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
NSK Olimpiyskiy
Croatia national football team

Ukraine U21s
2 - 0
Croatia U21s

Kashchuk (19'), Sikan (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kacavenda (16'), Stojkovic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Ukraine Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 3-0 N. Ireland U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Ukraine Under-21s 1-1 Croatia Under-21s

With both teams having been required to come through the playoffs, this should make for a hotly-contested match. With that in mind, we can only back a draw, a result which each side would take ahead of their upcoming fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
23.06% (-15.226 -15.23) 20.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 56.56% (15.418 15.42)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-9.686 -9.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (-8.428 -8.43)31.61% (8.428 8.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (-10.604 -10.6)53.1% (10.605 10.61)
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-12.358 -12.36)26.1% (12.36 12.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-20.147 -20.15)61.17% (20.148 20.15)
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (1.485 1.49)11.27% (-1.484 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.12% (3.15 3.15)35.88% (-3.149 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-21s 23.06%
    Croatia Under-21s 56.56%
    Draw 20.38%
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.79% (-1.317 -1.32)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.472 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-2.012 -2.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-2.11 -2.11)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-1.096 -1.1)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-1.453 -1.45)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 8.63% (1.461 1.46)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.997 -1)
0-0 @ 2.94% (1.189 1.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-1.264 -1.26)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 9.42% (2.039 2.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (3.293 3.29)
1-3 @ 6.85% (1.788 1.79)
0-1 @ 6.42% (2.813 2.81)
0-3 @ 5.1% (2.55 2.55)
2-3 @ 4.6% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-4 @ 3.74% (1.133 1.13)
0-4 @ 2.78% (1.471 1.47)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.559 0.56)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.674 0.67)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.587 -0.59)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.56%

How you voted: Ukraine U21s vs Croatia U21s

Ukraine Under-21s
21.1%
Draw
39.5%
Croatia Under-21s
39.5%
38
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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