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Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Croatia national football team

Portugal U21s
1 - 0
Croatia U21s

Vieira (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
35.63%26.31%38.06%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45%51.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65%73.35%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19%27.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6%63.4%
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 35.63%
    Croatia Under-21s 38.06%
    Draw 26.31%
Portugal Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.63%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.06%

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