MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:03:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
0 - 6
Nacional


Etchebarne (31')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Castro (24'), Zabala (35'), Galeano (38', 88'), Baez (51'), Petit Abad (90+6')
Galeano (88'), Cairus (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 2-3 Danubio
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Rampla
Sunday, July 7 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
DanubioDrawNacional
26.39% (-0.757 -0.76) 29.09% (0.147 0.15) 44.52% (0.609 0.61)
Both teams to score 41.76% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.76% (-0.793 -0.79)64.24% (0.793 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.64% (-0.564 -0.56)83.36% (0.565 0.56)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-1.114 -1.11)41.28% (1.115 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-1.002 -1)77.81% (1.002 1)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.88% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.073 -0.07)64.75% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 26.38%
    Nacional 44.51%
    Draw 29.09%
DanubioDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.92% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 14.8% (0.4 0.4)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 44.51%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Danubio
Bentancourt (84')
Polenta (83'), Bentancourt (85'), Baez (90+4')

Romero (17'), Ferreira (42'), Leyes (90')
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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