MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 19:31:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 17, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
P-P
Danubio

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 River Plate
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Nacional vs. Fenix
Saturday, May 11 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Ameliano 2-1 Danubio
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Cerro vs. Danubio
Saturday, May 11 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.58%).

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
61.45% (-0.242 -0.24) 21.99% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 16.56% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 48.6% (0.912 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (0.865 0.87)48.68% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (0.782 0.78)70.79% (-0.777 -0.78)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.215 0.22)15.34% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (0.395 0.4)44.1% (-0.39 -0.39)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.937 0.94)42.6% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.79 0.79)78.95% (-0.786 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 61.45%
    Danubio 16.56%
    Draw 21.99%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.098 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 61.45%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.56%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
5Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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