Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.