Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.