MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:45:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 24, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 1
Progreso

Coelho (59', 70'), Hernandez (90+2')
Sosa (54'), Coelho (66'), Gonzalez (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gianoli (44' og.)
Poiso (40'), Marta (63'), Piegas (78'), Silvera (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawProgreso
47.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.65% (0.02 0.02) 25.11% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)60.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.49% (-0.029 -0.03)80.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)25.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.55% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79% (0.017999999999994 0.02)40.21% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (0.015999999999998 0.02)76.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.23%
    Progreso 25.11%
    Draw 27.64%
PenarolDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 14.03%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.11%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-0
Penarol
Fuerte (29'), Viera (47'), Formento (56'), Barboza (63'), Romero (76')
Gonzalez (51'), Elizalde (53'), Gargano (67'), Laquintana (71'), Musto (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-0
Progreso
Alvarez (81')
Nahuelpan (42')

Barboza (14'), Bentaberry (34'), Arias (62'), Ferreira (89')
Mar 25, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-2
Penarol

Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (52'), Loffreda (89')
Kagelmacher (45+2'), A (59')
Oct 6, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
2-1
Progreso
Formiliano (56'), Gonzalez (69')
Piquerez (71'), Alvarez (84')
Alvarez (90+1')
Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
Progreso
0-0
Penarol
Trindade (56')
Gonzalez (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!