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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 0
River Plate

Fernandez (14')
Garcia (45+3'), Colombino (90+11'), Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galletto (25'), Olivera (90+7'), Corbo (90+12')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Progreso in this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
45.61% (0.773 0.77) 25.89% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 28.5% (-0.687 -0.69)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.7% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.367 0.37)22.74% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (0.543 0.54)56.41% (-0.547 -0.55)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.508 -0.51)32.81% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.571 -0.57)69.38% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 45.6%
    River Plate 28.5%
    Draw 25.89%
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.5%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
2-2
Progreso
Lavega (27' pen.), Gonzalez (74')
Moreno (41'), Campos (75'), Barrios (87'), Galletto (90+2'), Irrazabal (90+1')
Silva (7'), Lopez (63' pen.)
Piegas (24'), Poiso (54'), Andrada (67'), Garcia (90+3'), Silva (90+3')
Oct 9, 2021 2.15pm
Gameweek 5
Progreso
1-0
River Plate
Olaizola (2')
Barboza (89')

Brunelli (7'), Bonifazi (44'), Arezo (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Pablo Plada Ricci (90+4')
Jun 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
4-0
Progreso
Salaberry (24'), Borbas (35'), Bonifazi (38'), Castro (71')
Bonifazi (19'), Ichazo (64'), Boggio (67')

Gallardo (89')
Mar 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
3-2
Progreso
Rodriguez (2'), Gonzalez (45+1'), Alonso (90' pen.)
Salaberry (11'), Rodriguez (40'), Muscarelli (74'), Galletto (88'), Machado Solari (90+1')
Fernandez (81'), Marta (90+3')
Fernandez (20'), Viega (38'), Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (39'), Andrada (45+2'), Marta (87'), Andres Sanchez Islas (89')
Oct 10, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Progreso
1-2
River Plate
Viega (62')
Platero (27')
Silva (74')
Gonzalez (45+1'), N. Borbas Silva (85')
Rodriguez (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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