Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.