Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon5 - 0Bala Town
Downey (33', 57'), Lloyd (50', 63', 74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Peate (45+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
34.21% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( -0.02) | 40.95% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.07) | 45.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.06) | 67.62% ( -0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.02) | 25.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.03) | 60.57% ( -0.03) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.04) | 22.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.06) | 55.43% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 34.21%
Bala Town 40.95%
Draw 24.84%
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.95% |
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
1-3
Caernarfon
Robles (80')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Form Guide
