MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:43:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
2 - 2
Bala Town

Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 5-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Bala Town
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
33.36% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 24.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 41.95% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.79% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)67.15% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)25.93% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)60.93% (0.061 0.06)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.02300000000001 0.02)21.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 33.36%
    Bala Town 41.95%
    Draw 24.68%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.95%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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