MX23RW : Monday, March 31 06:39:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 3
Caernarfon

Robles (80')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lock (6', 90+3'), Davies (14')
Davies (45+1'), Mendes (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Bala Town
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
48.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.74% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)70.12% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)31.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.041999999999998 0.04)68.1% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 48.04%
    Caernarfon Town 27.23%
    Draw 24.73%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.04%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 27.23%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Lloyd (28'), Newell (41'), Harrison (87')
Owen (43'), Davies (90')
Sears (48')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints30240684295572
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont30187551282361
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest301311637221550
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30136115047345
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU30127114143-243
6Bala TownBala Town30713103439-534
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry30137104851-346
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay301251346321441
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town30113164261-1936
4Briton Ferry3095164558-1332
5Newtown AFCNewtown3068163458-2426
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3052232468-4417
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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