Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay2 - 0Pen-y-Bont
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wood (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 4 | -4 | 4 |
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Pen-y-Bont | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Bala Town | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
57.78% ( -1.55) | 23.33% ( 0.35) | 18.89% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
