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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
5 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Taylor-Crossdale (14', 44', 56'), Dyer (18'), John (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawColwyn Bay
59.07% (-0.398 -0.4) 21.33% (0.1 0.1) 19.6% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.31%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)13.53% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)40.6% (0.242 0.24)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.315 0.31)34.54% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.333 0.33)71.26% (-0.327 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 59.07%
    Colwyn Bay 19.6%
    Draw 21.33%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.6%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Colwyn Bay
1-2
Haverfordwest
Hill (56')
Creamer (54'), Creamer (55'), Jones (58'), Turner (90+3')
Whitmore (70'), Taylor-Crossdale (87')
Jenkins (37'), Fawcett (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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