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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-4 New Saints
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
33.72% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 39.41% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)54.08% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)75.51% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)66.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)26.83% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)62.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 33.72%
    Pen-y-Bont 39.41%
    Draw 26.86%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Harling (36'), Owen (79')
Venables (34'), Evans (43'), Jones (56'), Reffell (58'), Davies (76'), Owen (90+6')

Abbruzzese (70'), Whitmore (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Haverfordwest
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Dugan (10'), Veale (33')
D. Wood (90+4' pen.)
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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