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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Hill (56')
Creamer (54'), Creamer (55'), Jones (58'), Turner (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whitmore (70'), Taylor-Crossdale (87')
Jenkins (37'), Fawcett (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
46.9% (-1.495 -1.5) 24.83% (0.368 0.37) 28.27% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.844 -0.84)47.66% (0.845 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.785 -0.79)69.86% (0.786 0.79)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.96199999999999 -0.96)20.38% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-1.555 -1.56)52.79% (1.555 1.56)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.411 0.41)30.75% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.481 0.48)67.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 46.9%
    Haverfordwest County 28.27%
    Draw 24.82%
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.27%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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