MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 20:33:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Sears (43'), Mills-Evans (90+5'), Rushton (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rees (42')
Baker (74'), Price (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-4 Newtown
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
30.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.34% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.17 -0.17)52.85% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.144 -0.14)74.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)31.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)68.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)24.29% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.167 -0.17)58.66% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.47%
    Cardiff MU 43.17%
    Draw 26.33%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
4-1
Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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