Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park
Newtown4 - 1Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 43.38% | 24.77% | 31.84% |
| Both teams to score 57.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
