Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints2 - 0Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Panevezys
Thursday, August 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Aberystwyth
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.16%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 4-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
88.16% ( 1.05) | 8.27% ( -0.64) | 3.56% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 43.37% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.24% ( 1.16) | 24.75% ( -1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.4% ( 1.51) | 44.59% ( -1.52) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.45% ( 0.34) | 3.54% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.61% ( 1.12) | 15.38% ( -1.13) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.96% ( -0.89) | 55.03% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.1% ( -0.54) | 87.9% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints 88.16%
Aberystwyth Town 3.56%
Draw 8.27%
The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
3-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.15) 6-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.33) 6-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.96% Total : 88.16% | 1-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.49% Total : 8.27% | 0-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.56% |
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Aberystwyth
1-3
New Saints
Cadwallader (3')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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