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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
6 - 0
Aberystwyth

Canavan (11', 75'), Clark (43'), Cieslewicz (66' pen.), Holden (89'), Astles (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cornish (21')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.41%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 4.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
87.41% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04) 8.44% (0.016 0.02) 4.16% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.53% (0.090000000000003 0.09)21.47% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.84% (0.124 0.12)40.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.85% (0.012 0.01)3.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.95% (0.028999999999996 0.03)14.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (0.201 0.2)49.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (0.141 0.14)84.07% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 87.41%
    Aberystwyth Town 4.16%
    Draw 8.44%
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
3-0 @ 10.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 9.22% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 6.55% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 6.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.53% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
7-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
6-2 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 87.41%
1-1 @ 3.81%
2-2 @ 2.34% (0.015 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 8.44%
1-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 4.16%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
3-0
Aberystwyth
McManus (7' pen., 43'), Astles (64')
Routledge (33'), Davies (62'), Williams (74'), Harrison (83')

Davies (66'), Evans (79'), Franklin (82'), Veale (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
New Saints
4-1
Aberystwyth
Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Hewitt (34')
Evans (25'), J (55'), Davies (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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