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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
1 - 1
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Ajax Women

Chelsea know that they do not have to win Wednesday's second leg to progress, but with Ajax needing to take risks, we think that the Blues will exploit any space left in behind to claim a victory and ease through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
46.32% (0.671 0.67) 22.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.99% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)36.2% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (-0.227 -0.23)58.31% (0.226 0.23)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.169 0.17)16.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.307 0.31)45.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)23.19% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.698 -0.7)57.09% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 46.32%
    Ajax Women 30.99%
    Draw 22.69%
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Ajax

Chelsea Women
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax Women
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Ajax
0-3
Chelsea Women

Yohannes (14')
James (19'), Nusken (44', 83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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