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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
1 - 1
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Ajax Women

Chelsea know that they do not have to win Wednesday's second leg to progress, but with Ajax needing to take risks, we think that the Blues will exploit any space left in behind to claim a victory and ease through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
46.32% (0.671 0.67) 22.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.99% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)36.2% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (-0.227 -0.23)58.31% (0.226 0.23)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.169 0.17)16.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.307 0.31)45.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)23.19% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.698 -0.7)57.09% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 46.32%
    Ajax Women 30.99%
    Draw 22.69%
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Ajax

Chelsea Women
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax Women
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Ajax
0-3
Chelsea Women

Yohannes (14')
James (19'), Nusken (44', 83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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