Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park
Chelsea Women0 - 1Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women
Chelsea have not lost a competitive home game since March 2022, while Barcelona have only suffered one competitive defeat all season. With both teams proving tough to beat, we think a cagey encounter will produce a draw, which would leave the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
16.59% ( 0.07) | 18.45% ( 0.05) | 64.96% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
