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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
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Reading Women
1 - 3
Chelsea Women

Troelsgaard (70')
Hendrix (25'), Bryson (45+3'), Troelsgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (23'), Naevdal Mjelde (26' pen.), Reiten (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Reading Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

The Blues claimed a narrow 3-2 victory when the two sides met in December, and although we expect Reading to be competitive once again, we think that Chelsea's quality will shine through in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-4 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Reading Women win it was 2-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
3.94% (0.072 0.07) 8.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 87.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.22% (0.096 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-0.137 -0.14)41.2% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (0.235 0.23)50.82% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (0.157 0.16)85.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.7% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)14.3% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.94%
    Chelsea Women 87.73%
    Draw 8.32%
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 3.94%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.32%
0-3 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 9.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 3.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-6 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-7 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 87.73%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 6.45pm
Apr 3, 2022 6.45pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
Reading Women
Fleming (40'), England (52', 90+2' pen.), Kerr (66', 77')
Dec 11, 2021 11.30am
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-5
Chelsea Women

Williams (45+1'), Moloney (45+2')
Kirby (16', 23', 45+2', 53'), So-yun (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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