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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
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Reading Women
1 - 3
Chelsea Women

Troelsgaard (70')
Hendrix (25'), Bryson (45+3'), Troelsgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (23'), Naevdal Mjelde (26' pen.), Reiten (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Reading Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

The Blues claimed a narrow 3-2 victory when the two sides met in December, and although we expect Reading to be competitive once again, we think that Chelsea's quality will shine through in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-4 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Reading Women win it was 2-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
3.94% (0.072 0.07) 8.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 87.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.22% (0.096 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-0.137 -0.14)41.2% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (0.235 0.23)50.82% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (0.157 0.16)85.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.7% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)14.3% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.94%
    Chelsea Women 87.73%
    Draw 8.32%
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 3.94%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.32%
0-3 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 9.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 3.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-6 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-7 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 87.73%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 6.45pm
Apr 3, 2022 6.45pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
Reading Women
Fleming (40'), England (52', 90+2' pen.), Kerr (66', 77')
Dec 11, 2021 11.30am
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-5
Chelsea Women

Williams (45+1'), Moloney (45+2')
Kirby (16', 23', 45+2', 53'), So-yun (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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