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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium

B'ham Women
0 - 2
Brighton Women


Scott (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pattinson (28'), Carter (32' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 B'ham Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-2 Man City Women
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Birmingham City Women 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Although Brighton are winless in seven league games, they have breezed past lower-tier opposition to secure their place in the FA Cup quarter-final, and we think that they will showcase their top-flight quality to progress to the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
48% (0.184 0.18) 21.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 30.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 67.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)32.31% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.256 -0.26)53.93% (0.251 0.25)
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.06% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.75% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.348 -0.35)54.93% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Women 48%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 30.18%
    Draw 21.82%
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Brighton Women
1-3
B'ham Women
Zigiotti-Olme (84')
Kerkdijk (22'), Le Tissier (74')
Sarri (9'), Quinn (75', 88')
Smith (86')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
B'ham Women
0-5
Brighton Women
Williams (2'), Kaagman (45+1' pen.), Carter (50'), Koivisto (58'), Green (70')
Symonds (80'), Simpkins (90+5')
Sep 6, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
2-0
B'ham Women
Connolly (59'), Kaagman (61')

Holloway (66'), Scott (71'), Napier (81'), Mayling (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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