Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.12%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 2.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.49%) and 0-2 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.09%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.