MX23RW : Monday, December 30 17:45:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man City Women

Daly (68')
Parker (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fowler (21'), Hemp (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, May 5 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Manchester City Women

 Man City have won nine of their 10 away league matches, and we think that they will produce another strong away performance to claim all three points, but they may struggle to achieve the three-goal swing in goal difference and such a scenario would leave them relying on a favour from their local rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.59%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester City Women
8.86% (-0.9291 -0.93) 13.55% (-1.124 -1.12) 77.59% (2.052 2.05)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.739 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.77% (2.72 2.72)28.23% (-2.719 -2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.97% (3.3 3.3)49.02% (-3.301 -3.3)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (0.186 0.19)41.35% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.164 0.16)77.86% (-0.166 -0.17)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.13% (0.96300000000001 0.96)5.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.49% (2.655 2.66)22.51% (-2.656 -2.66)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 8.86%
    Manchester City Women 77.59%
    Draw 13.55%
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 2.68% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-0 @ 2.14% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-0 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 8.86%
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.614 -0.61)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.55%
0-2 @ 9.76% (-0.455 -0.46)
0-3 @ 9.22% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-3 @ 8.14% (0.112 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.734 -0.73)
0-4 @ 6.54% (0.404 0.4)
1-4 @ 5.77% (0.385 0.39)
0-5 @ 3.71% (0.415 0.42)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-5 @ 3.27% (0.382 0.38)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.182 0.18)
0-6 @ 1.75% (0.28 0.28)
1-6 @ 1.55% (0.253 0.25)
2-5 @ 1.45% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 77.59%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City Women

Aston Villa Women
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Manchester City Women
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Man City Women
2-1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City Women
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')
Castellanos (38')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Man City Women
1-1
Aston Villa
Castellanos (28')
Hanson (31')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City Women
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
0-3
Man City Women
Stanway (5', 75'), Losada (41')
Greenwood (58')
> Preview
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