Chelsea Women3 - 0Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 14 at 2.35pm in Women's FA Cup
for
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women
Chelsea may have experienced disappointment in their last two cup games, but they are usually a tough team to beat on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways in Wednesday's clash with Aston Villa. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
67.32% ( 0.62) | 17.82% ( -0.27) | 14.86% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.08% ( 0.57) | 32.92% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.37% ( 0.65) | 54.63% ( -0.65) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( 0.3) | 9.02% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.28% ( 0.7) | 30.72% ( -0.7) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( -0.08) | 35.01% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( -0.08) | 71.75% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.96% Total : 67.32% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 14.86% |
How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Aston Villa
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
3 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
4 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
9 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
10 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2 |
11 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
12 | Everton WomenEverton | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 2 |
> Women's Super League Full Table |