Bristol Women0 - 2Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
We said: Bristol City Women 1-3 Aston Villa Women
Although Aston Villa have struggled this season, their squad is a lot stronger than the results suggest, and we think that they will finally get their campaign up and running with a narrow victory over newly-promoted Bristol City. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
29.79% ( -0.08) | 23.01% ( 0.09) | 47.19% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.55% ( -0.47) | 38.44% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.26% ( -0.5) | 60.73% ( 0.5) |
Bristol City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.29) | 25.03% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.4) | 59.7% ( 0.4) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( -0.18) | 16.64% ( 0.18) |