Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 91.01%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 2.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.42%) and 0-2 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.11%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.