Women's Super League | Gameweek 7
Nov 18, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Liverpool Women
Having lost just one of their six league games, Liverpool have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, and we expect Beard's troops to be involved in another close-fought contest on Saturday.
However, we think that a Chelsea side stacked with world-class talent will have enough quality to edge out the Reds and claim a narrow victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 73.85% . A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (9.15%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%) , while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.12%) . The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result Chelsea Women Draw Liverpool Women 73.85% ( 1.35) 15.68% ( -0.55) 10.47% ( -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.89)
66.01% ( 0.33) 33.99% ( -0.32)
44.15% ( 0.37) 55.85% ( -0.36)
92.13% ( 0.37) 7.87% ( -0.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 72.13% ( 0.92) 27.87% ( -0.91)
57.56% ( -1.2) 42.44% ( 1.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.18% ( -1.04) 78.82% ( 1.05)
Chelsea Women 73.85%
Liverpool Women 10.47%
Draw 15.68%
Chelsea Women Draw Liverpool Women 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 73.85% 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.68% 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.47%
How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Liverpool Women
Chelsea Women
Draw
Liverpool Women
10
rhs 2.0
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