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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Prenton Park

Liverpool Women
2 - 1
Leicester Women

Lawley (48'), Hobinger (84')
Nagano (60'), Enderby (90+8'), van de Sanden (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goodwin (57')
Thibaud (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Man City Women
Saturday, October 21 at 5.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 1-2 Leicester Women

With both teams level on seven points, Sunday's meeting is likely to produce a closely-fought contest, but the Foxes will draw inspiration from their recent head-to-head record, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawLeicester Women
58.64% (-0.437 -0.44) 22.54% (0.189 0.19) 18.82% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.21% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.421 -0.42)47.41% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.391 -0.39)69.63% (0.39 0.39)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)15.84% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.536 -0.54)45.02% (0.533 0.53)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.15% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.032 0.03)75.86% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 58.63%
    Leicester Women 18.82%
    Draw 22.53%
Liverpool WomenDrawLeicester Women
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.63%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.82%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Leicester Women
4-0
Liverpool Women
Green (15'), Jones (21'), Plumptre (48'), Goodwin (90+6')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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