World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Bahrain0 - 5Japan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, September 5 at 11.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 11.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
We said: Bahrain 0-3 Japan
Despite a stunning victory on the road last week, lightning is unlikely to strike twice for Bahrain here, as Japan's might may well be too much for them to handle. A 7-0 win over China on matchday one for Japan has set the standard in this group, and Moriyasu's men are resounding favourites to make it two from two. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bahrain win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
21.77% ( 0.24) | 22.54% ( 0.1) | 55.68% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.15) | 43.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.15) | 65.89% ( 0.15) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.14) | 33.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.15) | 70.56% ( -0.14) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.16) | 15.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.31) | 44.36% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahrain 21.77%
Japan 55.68%
Draw 22.54%
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.77% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.68% |
How you voted: Bahrain vs Japan
Bahrain
10.3%Draw
10.3%Japan
79.4%68
Head to Head
