MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:14:24| >> :120:85079:85079:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 11.14am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Syria national football team

Japan
5 - 0
Syria

Ueda (13'), Doan (19'), Krouma (21' og.), Soma (73' pen.), Minamino (85')
Kamada (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Rahman Oues (72'), Ham (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Syria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Myanmar 0-5 Japan
Thursday, June 6 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Syria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: North Korea 1-0 Syria
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Japan 3-1 Syria

 Japan have proven to be a cut above the rest in Group B, and while they may be guaranteed top spot, we still think that they will have the motivation to wrap up the second stage of qualifying with a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Syria had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawSyria
67% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 18.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.1% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)39.84% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.19% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01% (0.010999999999996 0.01)10.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74% (0.030000000000001 0.03)35.25% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.109 -0.11)40.47% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)77.08% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Japan 67%
    Syria 14.1%
    Draw 18.89%
JapanDrawSyria
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 7.98% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.89%
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.1%

How you voted: Japan vs Syria

Japan
79.2%
Draw
13.2%
Syria
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 2.45pm
Second Round
Syria
0-5
Japan
Kubo (32'), Ueda (37', 40'), Sugawara (47'), Hosoya (82')
rhs 2.0
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