MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:11:23| >> :600:3340340:3340340:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Ecuador national football team

Bolivia
1 - 2
Ecuador

Ramallo (83')
Cuellar (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paez (45'), Rodriguez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 0-3 Argentina
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador

 While we expect Bolivia to be competitive, with their opening two defeats coming against unenviable opposition, Ecuador boast the stronger squad and have a degree of momentum on their side, and we fancy them to get over the line in La Paz and make it back-to-back qualifying wins to get their points tally into the positive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.

Result
BoliviaDrawEcuador
22.28% (-1.379 -1.38) 24.35% (-0.554 -0.55) 53.36% (1.931 1.93)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (0.883 0.88)50.58% (-0.885 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.773 0.77)72.5% (-0.77499999999999 -0.77)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.801 -0.8)37.37% (0.798 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.798 -0.8)74.15% (0.79600000000001 0.8)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (1.111 1.11)18.89% (-1.113 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (1.815 1.82)50.38% (-1.819 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 22.28%
    Ecuador 53.36%
    Draw 24.35%
BoliviaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.8% (0.329 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.121 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.45% (0.364 0.36)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.27% (0.224 0.22)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.176 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Ecuador

Bolivia
25.0%
Draw
11.4%
Ecuador
63.6%
44
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
1-0
Bolivia
Valencia (69')
Estupinan (13'), Pacho (36')

Roca (41'), Terceros (53'), Arrascaita (73'), Ursino (85')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
> Preview
Mar 29, 2021 9.30pm
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
2-1
Bolivia
Martinez (37'), Estrada (59')
Arroyo (55')
Ramallo (90+4')
Montero (12')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Carlos Arce (37'), Moreno (60')
Jusino (18'), Montero (78')
Caicedo (46'), Mena (55'), Gruezo (88' pen.)
Caicedo (45'), Gruezo (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
Estrada (49'), Sornoza (72' pen.), Plata (86')
Torres (40'), Mendez (62')

Chumacero (18'), Campos (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!