MX23RW : Monday, December 30 23:59:57| >> :600:697253:697253:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Ecuador national football team

Bolivia
1 - 2
Ecuador

Ramallo (83')
Cuellar (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paez (45'), Rodriguez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 0-3 Argentina
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador

 While we expect Bolivia to be competitive, with their opening two defeats coming against unenviable opposition, Ecuador boast the stronger squad and have a degree of momentum on their side, and we fancy them to get over the line in La Paz and make it back-to-back qualifying wins to get their points tally into the positive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.

Result
BoliviaDrawEcuador
22.28% (-1.379 -1.38) 24.35% (-0.554 -0.55) 53.36% (1.931 1.93)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (0.883 0.88)50.58% (-0.885 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.773 0.77)72.5% (-0.77499999999999 -0.77)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.801 -0.8)37.37% (0.798 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.798 -0.8)74.15% (0.79600000000001 0.8)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (1.111 1.11)18.89% (-1.113 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (1.815 1.82)50.38% (-1.819 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 22.28%
    Ecuador 53.36%
    Draw 24.35%
BoliviaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.8% (0.329 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.121 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.45% (0.364 0.36)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.27% (0.224 0.22)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.176 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Ecuador

Bolivia
25.0%
Draw
11.4%
Ecuador
63.6%
44
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
1-0
Bolivia
Valencia (69')
Estupinan (13'), Pacho (36')

Roca (41'), Terceros (53'), Arrascaita (73'), Ursino (85')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
> Preview
Mar 29, 2021 9.30pm
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
2-1
Bolivia
Martinez (37'), Estrada (59')
Arroyo (55')
Ramallo (90+4')
Montero (12')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Carlos Arce (37'), Moreno (60')
Jusino (18'), Montero (78')
Caicedo (46'), Mena (55'), Gruezo (88' pen.)
Caicedo (45'), Gruezo (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
Estrada (49'), Sornoza (72' pen.), Plata (86')
Torres (40'), Mendez (62')

Chumacero (18'), Campos (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!