The Match
Match Report
Olivier Giroud and Kylian Mbappe score the goals as France beat Poland 3-1 to advance to the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.
Team News
Poland manager Czeslaw Michniewicz makes two changes to his starting lineup for their World Cup 2022 last-16 clash against holders France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with France.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Poland had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Poland |
71.7% ( -0.14) | 17.49% ( 0.08) | 10.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
