Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
