World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 15, 2021 at 1pm UK
Kenya2 - 1Rwanda
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Rwanda |
| 53.97% | 25.18% | 20.85% |
| Both teams to score 46.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% | 55.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% | 76.47% |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% | 20.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% | 41.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.02% | 77.97% |
| Score Analysis |
Kenya 53.96%
Rwanda 20.85%
Draw 25.18%
| Kenya | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.85% |
How you voted: Kenya vs Rwanda
Kenya
82.2%Draw
11.1%Rwanda
6.7%45
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Rwanda
1-1
Kenya
