Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.