We said: United Arab Emirates 1-2 Australia
While we predict a tight encounter in Doha, Australia boast the stronger of the two squads, and we see them triumphing on Tuesday.
The Socceroos have shown themselves to be a force in Asian qualification when on form, and they have the quality to advance to the final stage with a hard-fought win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Australia had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Australia in this match.