World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Venezuela1 - 0Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Venezuela 0-1 Paraguay
While the visitors may have been unable to make the most of being a man up in the last match, their defensive solidity was evident as they starved their opponents of any clear-cut chances. We fancy they will manage to find the net against this opposition and also expect them to keep another clean sheet here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Paraguay |
56.62% ( 0.41) | 26.06% ( -0.28) | 17.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.22% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
