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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Uruguay national football team

Venezuela
0 - 0
Uruguay


Casseres Jr (27'), Navarro (67'), Andres Martinez (89')
FT

Ugarte (27'), Rodriguez (53'), Merentiel (65'), Martinez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Venezuela 1-1 Uruguay

 Uruguay are still having to cope without the services of several key players, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw, especially as Venezuela have avoided defeat in all three of their home matches in 2026 World Cup qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.44%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawUruguay
26.96% (0.338 0.34) 31.03% (0.314 0.31) 42.01% (-0.649 -0.65)
Both teams to score 37.66% (-0.503 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.56% (-0.698 -0.7)69.44% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.13% (-0.452 -0.45)86.87% (0.45699999999999 0.46)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.18% (-0.114 -0.11)43.82% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.02% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)79.98% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.756 -0.76)32.97% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.845 -0.85)69.55% (0.849 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 26.96%
    Uruguay 42.01%
    Draw 31.01%
VenezuelaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.96%
0-0 @ 14.44% (0.37 0.37)
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.01%
0-1 @ 16.03% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.01%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Uruguay

Venezuela
31.3%
Draw
25.3%
Uruguay
43.4%
83
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-1
Venezuela
Bentancur (1'), De Arrascaeta (23'), Cavani (45+1'), Suarez (53' pen.)
Martinez (65')
> Preview
Jun 8, 2021 11.30pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-0
Uruguay
Angel (18'), Moreno (37'), Villanueva (42'), Rincon (63')
Caceres (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2017 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-0
Uruguay
rhs 2.0
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