World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay3 - 0Bolivia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 2-0 Peru
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Uruguay 4-0 Bolivia
Bolivia are awful travellers and are unlikely to cause much trouble to a Uruguay side full of confidence. The hosts must avoid complacency in a clash they are heavily expected to win, as top spot could be theirs heading into 2024 if Argentina drop points against Brazil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.73%) and 1-0 (14.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.72%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Bolivia |
83.81% ( 0.06) | 12.34% ( -0.03) | 3.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 28.36% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
