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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
40.87% ( 0.35) | 24.29% ( -0.07) | 34.84% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 60.05% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.43% ( 0.29) | 42.57% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.03% ( 0.29) | 64.97% ( -0.29) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.29) | 20.95% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.3% ( 0.45) | 53.7% ( -0.45) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.02) | 24.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.02) | 58.29% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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