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Fiorentina logo
Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
M. Haifa

Barak (59')
Belotti (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khalaili (88')
Cornud (16'), Simic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Maccabi Haifa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: M. Bnei Raina 2-1 M. Haifa
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Maccabi Haifa (Fiorentina win 7-4 on aggregate)

Fiorentina are expected to make it through to the next round, with a victory at home on Thursday sealing the Viola's progress to the Conference League quarters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMaccabi Haifa
54.6% (-0.116 -0.12) 22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.11% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (0.125 0.13)40.75% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87% (0.13 0.13)63.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)43.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Maccabi Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.16799999999999 0.17)31.16% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.19900000000001 0.2)67.49% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 54.6%
    Maccabi Haifa 23.11%
    Draw 22.29%
FiorentinaDrawMaccabi Haifa
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs M. Haifa

Fiorentina
89.2%
Maccabi Haifa
10.8%
93
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
M. Haifa
3-4
Fiorentina
Seck (12'), Kinda (29'), Khalaili (67')
Mohamed (10'), Dego (56'), Cafumana (69')
Cafumana (80')
N'Zola (2'), Beltran (58'), Mandragora (73'), Barak (90+5')
Italiano (45+2'), Kayode (84'), Milenkovic (87')
rhs 2.0
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