Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Nantes |
44.66% ( -0.33) | 25.21% ( 0.09) | 30.13% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.71% ( -0.27) | 48.3% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.56% ( -0.25) | 70.44% ( 0.25) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% ( -0.26) | 21.62% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.26% ( -0.4) | 54.74% ( 0.4) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( 0.03) | 29.75% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( 0.03) | 65.81% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |