Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.