Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax3 - 1Emmen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-0 Emmen
Emmen are playing with enough belief that they will fancy their chances of upsetting Ajax on away territory. Nevertheless, this is a different level of step up, and it would come as a surprise if Ajax do not canter to victory, regardless of how Feyenoord fare earlier in the day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.35%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
80.76% ( 0.03) | 11.97% ( -0.01) | 7.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.03) | 25.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.8% ( 0.04) | 46.2% ( -0.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.11% ( 0.01) | 4.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.03) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.78% ( -0) | 43.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.53% ( -0) | 79.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 80.76%
Emmen 7.26%
Draw 11.97%
| Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
| 3-0 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 6.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)7-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 4.78% Total : 80.76% | 1-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.97% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 7.26% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Emmen
Ajax
100%Draw
0.0%Emmen
0.0%5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.45pm
May 2, 2021 1.30pm
Nov 28, 2020 5.45pm
Apr 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 10, 2019 6.45pm
